Selection Sunday Thursday noon tip-off

Win your office pool without the spreadsheet.

The bracket you’d build with 40 hours of KenPom research, delivered in 5 minutes. 13-year backtest. 9 of the last 9 champions called correctly.

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$14.99 for the 2027 tournament

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BracketProof NCAA Tournament Prediction Results

  • 2013: predicted Louisville, actual champion Louisville; ESPN score 1610, champion called correctly.
  • 2014: predicted Michigan St., actual champion UConn; ESPN score 660.
  • 2015: predicted Kentucky, actual champion Duke; ESPN score 1240.
  • 2016: predicted Villanova, actual champion Villanova; ESPN score 1510, champion called correctly.
  • 2017: predicted North Carolina, actual champion North Carolina; ESPN score 1630, champion called correctly.
  • 2018: predicted Villanova, actual champion Villanova; ESPN score 1190, champion called correctly.
  • 2019: predicted Virginia, actual champion Virginia; ESPN score 1440, champion called correctly.
  • 2021: predicted Baylor, actual champion Baylor; ESPN score 1540, champion called correctly.
  • 2022: predicted Kansas, actual champion Kansas; ESPN score 1250, champion called correctly.
  • 2023: predicted UConn, actual champion UConn; ESPN score 1200, champion called correctly.
  • 2024: predicted UConn, actual champion UConn; ESPN score 1620, champion called correctly.
  • 2025: predicted Florida, actual champion Florida; ESPN score 1730, champion called correctly.
  • 2026: predicted Michigan, actual champion Michigan; ESPN score 1400, champion called correctly.

Totals: 11 of 13 champions called correctly, average ESPN score 1386, chalk baseline 910.

The proof

13 years. No cherry-picking.

Every prediction made by a model that never saw that season during training. Leave-one-out validated, every year.

AvgTop 10%Top 5%Top 1%6009001,2001,500'13'15'17'19'22'24'26
BracketProofSeed chalkKenPom chalkESPN pool zones

Shaded zones show where ESPN bracket pool scores typically fall each year. Based on 50k simulated brackets using historical public pick rates by seed.

See the full year-by-year breakdown

How it works

A season of KenPom research, compressed into one file.

  1. 01

    KenPom efficiency data

    207 metrics per team, updated daily through tournament week.

  2. 02

    Multi-model ML ensemble

    Trained on 13 years of tournaments, leave-one-out validated.

  3. 03

    One ready-to-submit bracket

    Delivered after Selection Sunday, in your inbox.

See the full methodology

See it in action

See BracketProof on any past tournament.

Browse our picks for every year from 2013–2026. Every game, every round, with the reasoning behind each call.

What you get

One bracket. Done.

Start free — no credit card needed

Build your own bracket with our interactive builder. Get 10 free game insightsto see the engine's pick and reasoning on any Round of 64 matchup.

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or get everything

2027 Tournament Pass

$14.99

One-time purchase. No subscription.

  • One optimized bracket, delivered after Selection Sunday
  • Pool-size strategy notes (small vs large pools)
  • Per-game reasoning in plain language
  • 13-year validated track record
  • No refunds. A real human reads every message if something's off

Early purchase — your pass activates automatically on Selection Sunday when the 2027 bracket goes live. No action needed.

$14.99 early-supporter price. Goes to $19.99 in 2028.

Individual picks

Credit packs will be available on Selection Sunday when the 2027 bracket goes live.

Frequently asked

Questions before you commit.